Kemal Kilicdaroglu has a small lead over Recep Tayyip Erdogan in a poll in Türkiye.
The winner by only 1.5 units is “awarded” Kemal Kilicdaroglu against him Recep Tayyip Erdoganwhich is the last poll about a month ago elections in Türkiye.
In particular, according to the Metropol poll broadcast by SKAI, Kilicdaroglu comes first in people’s preference with 42.6%, followed by Erdoğan with 41.1%.
The decisive factor, it seems, is Muharrem Ince, who collects 5%, which will affect the outcome in the second round of elections that Erdogan is seeking.
Despite opposition claims that Erdoğan may have “roasted” Ince to run to “steal” votes from Kilicdaroglu, it is estimated that in the second round of Turkish elections, a significant part of the 5% will go to the leader of the opposition Republican People’s Party.
The first round will take place on May 14, and if a second round is needed, it will take place on May 28.
Will deadly earthquakes play a role in the outcome of the Turkish elections?
in Possible effects of devastating and deadly earthquakes The expert researcher of the Kunda reconnaissance company, Erman Pakertzi, mentioned in the elections, and in the event that surprises are expected in the areas affected by the earthquake.
The geopolitics of Turkey is very orderly and stable. People have generally voted in the same pattern in the last three elections, and the party they supported has become part of their identity. We can expect some incremental changes in voter preferences given the current economic conditions, but that is not our goal.
Not that nothing has changed, but the change is below expectations or below average. However, in a large part of the earthquake-affected areas, the AKP and MHP prevailed. We have seen AK votes decrease during earthquakes and then increase again. So we don’t expect any decisive change in the region.”
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