As I watch Greek public opinion’s reception of the war in Gaza, I have the feeling that it is viewed as a battle seen from the stands of the Colosseum. There is no sense that this is something that directly concerns us. I fear that this feeling does not exist even among the country’s decision-makers.
However, there are factors that should have made us more active and interested.
The first is proximity to the area. Any change made also includes Greece. All energy and geopolitical networks end in Greece. The choice of Greece is met with opposition from Türkiye because the paths are necessarily different. The reaction of the neighboring country cannot be ignored.
The second is the gradual slowdown in US-Turkish relations, which may lead to their estrangement despite the efforts made by Washington. In such a situation, Greece will be the front line of the confrontation. It is known that the first lines are “exploited” by the United States. We see this in Ukraine, with the Kurds, and even with Israel, no matter how complicated the latter case is. Will Greece benefit from such a role? Will he be able to adapt? If it does not suit her or she will not be able to adapt, is the complacency resulting from the American-Turkish dispute a mistake?
The third criterion is the question: As the dual Riyadh conference (of the Arab countries and the Islamic Conference showed), the Arab countries are not united in how to deal with Israel. This dimension cannot be unknown in the United States. Why did they send such a powerful military force to the region? To confront Hamas’ guns? Or do they have something else broader in mind? and what is that?
I remind you that, according to what is known, there are two American aircraft carriers with their naval guards in the region, 4 destroyers, and a nuclear submarine carrying 154 Tomahawk guided missiles, in addition to sending several squadrons of fighters and bombers. aircraft to US air bases in the area, and a British force of two warships and aircraft while Germany also sent about 1,000 special forces personnel, which also included a special naval unit and a special unit attached to the Federal Police specializing in hostage release. . All this in order to deal with Hamas?
An interesting article was published in DefenseArabia magazine, talking about the stormy changes that will occur in the Middle East after the Israeli operation against Gaza.
He pointed out that there is an American and Western will to change reality in the broader Middle East region.
The changes will last several years, will be difficult and disruptive, and will occur gradually.
It is also emphasized that international institutions dedicated to international security or the prosecution of people who have committed war crimes or crimes against humanity have not been functioning for many years, making their replacement inevitable.
All of this is happening in an environment in which confidence in US policy and commitment to its allies has declined, the Gulf states are unsure of their desire to engage in military adventures to support American interests, and the presence of non-state actors. The region with military capabilities is an important variable. And always, with the caveat that another administration in the United States, which is very likely, will pursue a different policy.
It is this environment in the wider region that also concerns Greece. An environment in which diplomacy has not completely retreated, but there are no indications at present that it will gain the upper hand.
Are alternative scenarios taking shape in Athens?
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As I watch Greek public opinion’s reception of the war in Gaza, I have the feeling that it is viewed as a battle seen from the stands of the Colosseum. There is no sense that this is something that directly concerns us. I fear that this feeling does not exist even among the country’s decision-makers.
However, there are factors that should have made us more active and interested.
The first is proximity to the area. Any change made also includes Greece. All energy and geopolitical networks end in Greece. The choice of Greece is met with opposition from Türkiye because the paths are necessarily different. The reaction of the neighboring country cannot be ignored.
The second is the gradual slowdown in US-Turkish relations, which may lead to their estrangement despite the efforts made by Washington. In such a situation, Greece will be the front line of the confrontation. It is known that the first lines are “exploited” by the United States. We see this in Ukraine, with the Kurds, and even with Israel, no matter how complicated the latter case is. Will Greece benefit from such a role? Will he be able to adapt? If it does not suit her or she will not be able to adapt, is the complacency resulting from the American-Turkish dispute a mistake?
The third criterion is the question: As the dual Riyadh conference (of the Arab countries and the Islamic Conference showed), the Arab countries are not united in how to deal with Israel. This dimension cannot be unknown in the United States. Why did they send such a powerful military force to the region? To confront Hamas’ guns? Or do they have something else broader in mind? and what is that?
I remind you that, according to what is known, there are two American aircraft carriers with their naval guards in the region, 4 destroyers, and a nuclear submarine carrying 154 Tomahawk guided missiles, in addition to sending several squadrons of fighters and bombers. aircraft to US air bases in the area, and a British force of two warships and aircraft while Germany also sent about 1,000 special forces personnel, which also included a special naval unit and a special unit attached to the Federal Police specializing in hostage release. . All this in order to deal with Hamas?
An interesting article was published in DefenseArabia magazine, talking about the stormy changes that will occur in the Middle East after the Israeli operation against Gaza.
He pointed out that there is an American and Western will to change reality in the broader Middle East region.
The changes will last several years, will be difficult and disruptive, and will occur gradually.
It is also emphasized that international institutions dedicated to international security or the prosecution of people who have committed war crimes or crimes against humanity have not been functioning for many years, making their replacement inevitable.
All of this is happening in an environment in which confidence in US policy and commitment to its allies has declined, the Gulf states are unsure of their desire to engage in military adventures to support American interests, and the presence of non-state actors. The region with military capabilities is an important variable. And always, with the caveat that another administration in the United States, which is very likely, will pursue a different policy.
It is this environment in the wider region that also concerns Greece. An environment in which diplomacy has not completely retreated, but there are no indications at present that it will gain the upper hand.
Are alternative scenarios taking shape in Athens?
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